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Sunday, November 23, 2025

Texas and California III

For next week, finish Miller

Will discuss any other topics you want

Experience survey on Monday: bring your devices


Tale of the Tape (percent D)

California 

                                    1992                2024

Assembly seats           57.5%              75.0%

Senate seats                 60.0%             75.0% 

US House seats           57.7%             82.7%


Texas

State House seats       61.3%                41.3%   

State Senate seats       58.1%               35.5%

US House seats          70.0%               30.0%


The Big Sort:

In 1976, Democrat Jimmy Carter narrowly carried Texas and Republican Gerald Ford narrowly carried California.


Precinct-level national maps


Overall political party strength in Texas and California

What accounts for the shift?

1994 in California and Texas:




Institutional Stuctures









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