Election Eve

For Wednesday, Mary Kate Godfrey, "How War, Tariffs, and Other Foreign Policy Issues Could Affect the U.S. Midterms," Council on Foreign Relations, October 29, 2026.

 Scenarios

Election Night (all times Eastern, so subtract 3)

Bruce Mehlman P `25:

Turnout: VAP and VEP

• Historical
• Demographics
• Youth:  WHY IS TURNOUT LOWER AMONG YOUNGER PEOPLE?
• By state

Direct Democracy

Districts and a gerrymandering game

Explaining Elections:  Geography and the Electoral College 

Explaining Elections:  Demographics

• Gender and Marital Status
• The Diploma Divide

Latino Voting

• Identity
• Diversity of Latinos and Religion
• Latinos and issues (see table 5, p. 7)Immigration and border security -- but has something changed?
• "Latinx"

Explaining Elections:  Economics

Campaigns

• Spending
• Commercials!