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During the semester, I shall post course material and students will comment on it. Students are also free to comment on any aspect of American politics, either current or historical. There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges. This blog is on the open Internet, so post nothing that you would not want a potential employer to see. Syllabus: http://gov20h.blogspot.com/2023/08/draft-introduction-to-american-politics.html

Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Campaigning

See here for various visual depictions of Red and Blue America in 2004. And look here for what may happen in 2008.

Incumbents tend to win reelection, as these graphs show vividly.

The economy has a huge impact. Economist Ray Fair, among others, has devised a formula for predicting elections. You may plug in your own assumptions to test various scenarios.

For historical campaign ads, see here and here.

See Mike's post (below) for ads in the 2006 Maryland Senate race.

See here for an independent expenditure ad by a 527 group.
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