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During the semester, I shall post course material and students will comment on it. Students are also free to comment on any aspect of American politics, either current or historical. There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges. This blog is on the open Internet, so post nothing that you would not want a potential employer to see. Syllabus: http://gov20h.blogspot.com/2023/08/draft-introduction-to-american-politics.html

Thursday, October 6, 2011

So Now What?

The Obama White House faced a sad day yesterday. Sarah Palin finally announced that she will not seek the presidency in 2012. Although Palin is not without credentials, she is a loose cannon who would provide a guaranteed win for Obama. Great leaders do not focus on destroying institutions; they focus on building them. Republicans have a right to rejoice.

But what about the rest of the bunch? A contributor to this article (who some of you may know) said the following:

Romney will probably pick up much of the money that would have gone to Christie. As for conservative primary voters who might have backed Palin, much will depend on the debates. Now that Cain seems to be entering the top tier,he can look forward to harder questions and tougher scrutiny. Perry needs to show that he can recover from his stumbles and put in a strong performance all the way to the last minute.

Advice to Romney: Remember that you need votes, not just money. Advice to Cain: Hit the briefing books. Advice to Perry: Chug some Red Bull.

If I were Mitt Romney, I would join the mourning in the Obama White House. If Palin were to run she would likely further fragment the Tea Party and evangelical voters, which would be a plus for Mitt. Rick Perry probably has a smug smile on his face, knowing that Palin will no longer detract from his base. Cain likely has his hopes up, thinking he has a shot at grabbing the votes of Palin followers.

Some people believe that Sarah Palin’s decision has a minimal effect on the 2012 election. What do you think: how does this decision change the political calculation among Republican candidates?

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